November 18, 2005
UFC Middleweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Nate Quarry | Rich Franklin |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 075 | 1 256 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Rich Franklin's 2-fight experience advantage (6 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rich Franklin for the expected result. Had Nate Quarry pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Nate Quarry | Rich Franklin |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 049 | 1 209 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +45 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Rich Franklin captured the UFC Middleweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Nate Quarry | Rich Franklin |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:34 | 2:34 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 238 | 1 453 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +62 |
Rich Franklin earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:34, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Nate Quarry | Rich Franklin |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 20 | 34 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 15 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 1 201 | 1 537 |
| ELO Change | -78 | +78 |
Rich Franklin dominated the striking exchanges with 13 vs 4 significant strikes, 38.2% vs 20.0% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Rich Franklin capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Nate Quarry | Rich Franklin |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 105 | 1 318 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Nate Quarry | Rich Franklin |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 106 | 169 |
| Activity ELO | 1 168 | 1 304 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +27 |
Rich Franklin demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rich Franklin capitalized on this activity level, while Nate Quarry's 106-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Nate Quarry | Rich Franklin |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 6 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 060 | 1 193 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +39 |
Rich Franklin continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Nate Quarry's now at 0.
| Metric | Nate Quarry | Rich Franklin |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 045 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.