September 15, 2009
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Nate Quarry | Tim Credeur |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 151 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Nate Quarry's 5-fight experience advantage (9 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nate Quarry for the expected result. Had Tim Credeur pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Nate Quarry | Tim Credeur |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 099 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Nate Quarry | Tim Credeur |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 344 | 1 192 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Nate Quarry earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Nate Quarry | Tim Credeur |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 53 | 40 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 131 | 162 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 124 | 56 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 325 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | +83 | -83 |
Nate Quarry dominated the striking exchanges with 124 vs 56 total strikes, 53 vs 40 significant strikes, 40.5% vs 24.7% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Nate Quarry capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Nate Quarry | Tim Credeur |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:01 | 0:40 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 15 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 202 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -70 |
Nate Quarry controlled Tim Credeur on the ground with 8:01 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Nate Quarry | Tim Credeur |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 151 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 1 237 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -15 |
Nate Quarry demonstrated solid activity levels with 151 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Nate Quarry capitalized on this activity level, while Tim Credeur's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Nate Quarry | Tim Credeur |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 120 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Nate Quarry extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tim Credeur is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Nate Quarry | Tim Credeur |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 096 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

