Nathan Fletcher vs Rinya Nakamura

Rinya Nakamura's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rinya Nakamura for the expected result. Had Nathan Fletcher pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Rinya Nakamura earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:02, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Rinya Nakamura controlled the striking exchanges with 12 vs 3 significant strikes, 63.2% vs 42.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Rinya Nakamura capitalized on this striking dominance.

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Rinya Nakamura demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Rinya Nakamura capitalized on this activity level, while Nathan Fletcher's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Rinya Nakamura started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nathan Fletcher is back at 0 with this loss.

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.