December 14, 2024
Light Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Navajo Stirling | Tuco Tokkos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 061 | 918 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -61 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Navajo Stirling | Tuco Tokkos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Navajo Stirling | Tuco Tokkos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 037 | 921 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Navajo Stirling earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Navajo Stirling | Tuco Tokkos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 78 | 32 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 155 | 90 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 99 | 34 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 045 | 934 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Navajo Stirling dominated the striking exchanges with 99 vs 34 total strikes, 78 vs 32 significant strikes, 50.3% vs 35.6% accuracy. Navajo Stirling capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Navajo Stirling | Tuco Tokkos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:54 | 3:36 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 016 | 902 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Navajo Stirling did not secure a significant ground advantage against Tuco Tokkos on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:54 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Navajo Stirling | Tuco Tokkos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 211 |
| Activity ELO | 1 020 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Navajo Stirling demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Navajo Stirling capitalized on this activity level, while Tuco Tokkos's 211-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Navajo Stirling | Tuco Tokkos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Navajo Stirling started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tuco Tokkos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Navajo Stirling | Tuco Tokkos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.