June 23, 2023
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Neil Magny | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 30 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 25 | -25 |
| Experience ELO | 1 279 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Neil Magny's 25-fight experience advantage (30 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Neil Magny for the expected result. Had Phil Rowe pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 181 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 430 | 1 252 |
| ELO Change | +6 | -6 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Neil Magny receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 34 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 65 | 64 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 109 | 51 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 354 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Neil Magny dominated the striking exchanges with 109 vs 51 total strikes, 29 vs 34 significant strikes, 44.6% vs 53.1% accuracy. Neil Magny capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:31 | 4:38 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 304 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +7 | -7 |
Neil Magny did not secure a significant ground advantage against Phil Rowe on the ground with 0 takedowns, 4:31 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | 203 |
| Activity ELO | 1 464 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | +7 | -4 |
Neil Magny demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Neil Magny capitalized on this activity level, while Phil Rowe's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 251 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -11 |
Neil Magny started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Phil Rowe is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 172 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

