Neil Magny vs Phil Rowe

June 23, 2023

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1304
(+11)
Neil Magny
Winner: Neil Magny
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Neil Magny+11
Phil Rowe-11
1084
(-11)
Phil Rowe

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Neil Magny: +19Phil Rowe: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricNeil MagnyPhil Rowe
Total UFC Fights305
Experience Gap25-25
Experience ELO1 2791 091
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

Neil Magny's 25-fight experience advantage (30 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Neil Magny for the expected result. Had Phil Rowe pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Neil Magny: +14Phil Rowe: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricNeil MagnyPhil Rowe
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1811 030
ELO Change+14-14
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Neil Magny: +6Phil Rowe: -6

Performance Statistics

MetricNeil MagnyPhil Rowe
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 4301 252
ELO Change+6-6
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Neil Magny receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Neil Magny: +16Phil Rowe: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricNeil MagnyPhil Rowe
Significant Strikes Landed2934
Significant Strikes Attempted6564
Total Strikes Landed10951
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 3541 139
ELO Change+16-16
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What Happened

Neil Magny dominated the striking exchanges with 109 vs 51 total strikes, 29 vs 34 significant strikes, 44.6% vs 53.1% accuracy. Neil Magny capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Neil Magny: +7Phil Rowe: -7

Performance Statistics

MetricNeil MagnyPhil Rowe
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted32
Ground Control Time4:314:38
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 3041 007
ELO Change+7-7
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What Happened

Neil Magny did not secure a significant ground advantage against Phil Rowe on the ground with 0 takedowns, 4:31 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Neil Magny: +7Phil Rowe: -4

Performance Statistics

MetricNeil MagnyPhil Rowe
Days Since Last Fight154203
Activity ELO1 4641 073
ELO Change+7-4
💡

What Happened

Neil Magny demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Neil Magny capitalized on this activity level, while Phil Rowe's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Neil Magny: +12Phil Rowe: -11

Performance Statistics

MetricNeil MagnyPhil Rowe
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 2511 049
ELO Change+12-11
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What Happened

Neil Magny started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Phil Rowe is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Neil Magny: +14Phil Rowe: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricNeil MagnyPhil Rowe
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1721 030
ELO Change+14-14
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.