August 28, 2020
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Neil Magny | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 23 | 22 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 282 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (23 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 197 | 1 173 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 491 | 1 348 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Neil Magny earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 62 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 88 | 45 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 116 | 41 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 400 | 1 297 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Neil Magny dominated the striking exchanges with 116 vs 41 total strikes, 62 vs 26 significant strikes, 70.5% vs 57.8% accuracy. Neil Magny capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:14 | 1:33 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 446 | 1 191 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Neil Magny controlled Robbie Lawler on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 8:14 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 84 | 392 |
| Activity ELO | 1 500 | 1 325 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -14 |
Neil Magny demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 84 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Neil Magny capitalized on this activity level, while Robbie Lawler's 392-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 272 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -17 |
Neil Magny extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Robbie Lawler is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 185 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.