June 27, 2014
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Neil Magny | Rodrigo de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 051 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Neil Magny's 5-fight experience advantage (6 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Neil Magny for the expected result. Had Rodrigo de Lima pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Rodrigo de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 042 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Rodrigo de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:32 | 2:32 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 132 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -35 |
Neil Magny gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Rodrigo de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 30 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 55 | 14 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 31 | 30 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 152 | 910 |
| ELO Change | +90 | -90 |
Neil Magny controlled the striking exchanges with 30 vs 5 significant strikes, 54.5% vs 35.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Neil Magny capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Rodrigo de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:38 | 3:42 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 036 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Neil Magny edged out Rodrigo de Lima on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 0:38 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Rodrigo de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 49 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 177 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -15 |
Neil Magny demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 49 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Neil Magny capitalized on this activity level, while Rodrigo de Lima's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Rodrigo de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 056 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -19 |
Neil Magny extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rodrigo de Lima is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Rodrigo de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 042 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

