November 16, 2018
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Neil Magny | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 20 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 206 | 1 270 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +54 |
Santiago Ponzinibbio overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (11 vs 20 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Neil Magny.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 138 | 1 149 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 4 | 4 |
| Time of Finish | 2:36 | 2:36 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 383 | 1 521 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +79 |
Santiago Ponzinibbio gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 4, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 72 | 79 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 251 | 177 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 72 | 81 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 1 218 | 1 494 |
| ELO Change | -80 | +80 |
Santiago Ponzinibbio dominated the striking exchanges with 79 vs 72 significant strikes, 44.6% vs 28.7% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Santiago Ponzinibbio capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:41 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 343 | 1 331 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Santiago Ponzinibbio landed 2 knockdowns followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 336 |
| Activity ELO | 1 415 | 1 280 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Santiago Ponzinibbio demonstrated standard activity with 336 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Santiago Ponzinibbio capitalized on this activity level, while Neil Magny's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 7 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 212 | 1 263 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +68 |
Santiago Ponzinibbio continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Neil Magny's now at 0.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 131 | 1 149 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.