August 2, 2013
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Neil Magny | Sergio Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 989 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Sergio Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 999 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Sergio Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:13 | 3:13 |
| Win Type ELO | 998 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +72 |
Sergio Moraes earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:13, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Sergio Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 29 | 20 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 9 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 007 | 984 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Sergio Moraes slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 13 vs 7 significant strikes, 65.0% vs 24.1% accuracy. Sergio Moraes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Sergio Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:21 | 1:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 954 | 1 193 |
| ELO Change | -124 | +124 |
Sergio Moraes dominated Neil Magny on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:06 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Sergio Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 294 |
| Activity ELO | 1 001 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Sergio Moraes demonstrated standard activity with 294 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Sergio Moraes capitalized on this activity level, while Neil Magny's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Sergio Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 001 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +27 |
Sergio Moraes extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Neil Magny is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Sergio Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 999 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.