May 9, 2014
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Neil Magny | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 021 | 940 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -19 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 022 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 061 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Neil Magny earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 30 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 77 | 66 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 52 | 53 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 062 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Tim Means lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Neil Magny's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:19 | 1:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 003 | 922 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -62 |
Neil Magny controlled Tim Means on the ground with 4 vs 3 takedowns, 5:19 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 287 |
| Activity ELO | 1 102 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -20 |
Neil Magny demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Neil Magny capitalized on this activity level, while Tim Means's 287-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 031 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Neil Magny extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tim Means is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Neil Magny | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.