Neil Magny vs William Macario

October 24, 2014

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1164
(+32)
Neil Magny
Winner: Neil Magny
KO/TKO
Round 3 • 2:40

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Neil Magny+32
William Macario-25
980
(-25)
William Macario

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Neil Magny: +25William Macario: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricNeil MagnyWilliam Macario
Total UFC Fights83
Experience Gap5-5
Experience ELO1 108984
ELO Change+25-25
💡

What Happened

Neil Magny's 5-fight experience advantage (8 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Neil Magny for the expected result. Had William Macario pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Neil Magny: +17William Macario: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricNeil MagnyWilliam Macario
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 080982
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Neil Magny: +45William Macario: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricNeil MagnyWilliam Macario
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round33
Time of Finish2:402:40
Win Type ELO1 217976
ELO Change+45-23
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What Happened

Neil Magny gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Neil Magny: +39William Macario: -39

Performance Statistics

MetricNeil MagnyWilliam Macario
Significant Strikes Landed6524
Significant Strikes Attempted14677
Total Strikes Landed11425
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 266974
ELO Change+39-39
💡

What Happened

Neil Magny dominated the striking exchanges with 114 vs 25 total strikes, 65 vs 24 significant strikes, 44.5% vs 31.2% accuracy. Neil Magny capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Neil Magny: +56William Macario: -56

Performance Statistics

MetricNeil MagnyWilliam Macario
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted41
Ground Control Time2:500:36
Ground Strikes Landed332
Ground ELO1 167960
ELO Change+56-56
💡

What Happened

Neil Magny controlled William Macario on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 2:50 of control time, 33 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Neil Magny: +24William Macario: -8

Performance Statistics

MetricNeil MagnyWilliam Macario
Days Since Last Fight63301
Activity ELO1 278997
ELO Change+24-8
💡

What Happened

Neil Magny demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 63 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Neil Magny capitalized on this activity level, while William Macario's 301-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Neil Magny: +30William Macario: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricNeil MagnyWilliam Macario
Win Streak50
Win Streak ELO1 115985
ELO Change+30-16
💡

What Happened

Neil Magny continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. William Macario's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Neil Magny: +17William Macario: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricNeil MagnyWilliam Macario
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 080982
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.