November 30, 2017
UFC Women's Flyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Nicco Montano | Roxanne Modafferi |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 061 | 918 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -61 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Nicco Montano | Roxanne Modafferi |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 059 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -20 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Nicco Montano captured the UFC Women's Flyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Nicco Montano | Roxanne Modafferi |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 037 | 921 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Nicco Montano earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Nicco Montano | Roxanne Modafferi |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 186 | 132 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 456 | 403 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 242 | 154 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 029 | 937 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Nicco Montano dominated the striking exchanges with 242 vs 154 total strikes, 186 vs 132 significant strikes, 40.8% vs 32.8% accuracy. Nicco Montano capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Nicco Montano | Roxanne Modafferi |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:11 | 3:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 15 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 060 | 875 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -60 |
Nicco Montano controlled Roxanne Modafferi on the ground with 3 vs 2 takedowns, 6:11 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Nicco Montano | Roxanne Modafferi |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 1 462 |
| Activity ELO | 1 020 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Nicco Montano demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since her last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Nicco Montano capitalized on this activity level, while Roxanne Modafferi's 1462-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Nicco Montano | Roxanne Modafferi |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Nicco Montano started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Roxanne Modafferi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Nicco Montano | Roxanne Modafferi |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.