Nick Agallar vs Yves Edwards

November 20, 2003

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

970
(-30)
Nick Agallar
Winner: Yves Edwards
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 2:14

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Nick Agallar-30
Yves Edwards+35
1114
(+35)
Yves Edwards

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Nick Agallar: -28Yves Edwards: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricNick AgallarYves Edwards
Total UFC Fights16
Experience Gap-55
Experience ELO9721 068
ELO Change-28+28
💡

What Happened

Yves Edwards's 5-fight experience advantage (6 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Yves Edwards for the expected result. Had Nick Agallar pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Nick Agallar: -19Yves Edwards: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricNick AgallarYves Edwards
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9811 044
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Nick Agallar: -25Yves Edwards: +52

Performance Statistics

MetricNick AgallarYves Edwards
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish2:142:14
Win Type ELO9751 198
ELO Change-25+52
💡

What Happened

Yves Edwards gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Nick Agallar: -70Yves Edwards: +70

Performance Statistics

MetricNick AgallarYves Edwards
Significant Strikes Landed533
Significant Strikes Attempted4357
Total Strikes Landed1039
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9301 241
ELO Change-70+70
💡

What Happened

Yves Edwards controlled the striking exchanges with 39 vs 10 total strikes, 33 vs 5 significant strikes, 57.9% vs 11.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Yves Edwards capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Nick Agallar: -45Yves Edwards: +45

Performance Statistics

MetricNick AgallarYves Edwards
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time1:070:11
Ground Strikes Landed011
Ground ELO9551 096
ELO Change-45+45
💡

What Happened

Yves Edwards landed 1 knockdown followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Nick Agallar: -13Yves Edwards: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricNick AgallarYves Edwards
Days Since Last FightN/A169
Activity ELO9871 159
ELO Change-13+23
💡

What Happened

Yves Edwards demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Yves Edwards capitalized on this activity level, while Nick Agallar's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Nick Agallar: -19Yves Edwards: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricNick AgallarYves Edwards
Win Streak04
Win Streak ELO9811 063
ELO Change-19+26
💡

What Happened

Yves Edwards extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nick Agallar is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Nick Agallar: -19Yves Edwards: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricNick AgallarYves Edwards
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9811 044
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.