November 17, 2023
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Nick Aguirre | Payton Talbott |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 907 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +59 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Nick Aguirre | Payton Talbott |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 958 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Nick Aguirre | Payton Talbott |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 0:58 | 0:58 |
| Win Type ELO | 918 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +55 |
Payton Talbott earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 0:58, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Nick Aguirre was submitted.
| Metric | Nick Aguirre | Payton Talbott |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 28 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 12 | 53 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 18 | 58 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 884 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +49 |
Payton Talbott controlled the striking exchanges with 58 vs 18 total strikes, 28 vs 5 significant strikes, 52.8% vs 41.7% accuracy. Payton Talbott capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Nick Aguirre | Payton Talbott |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:46 | 3:25 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 16 |
| Ground ELO | 856 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Payton Talbott controlled Nick Aguirre on the ground with 0 takedowns, 3:25 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Nick Aguirre | Payton Talbott |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 308 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 958 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Payton Talbott demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Payton Talbott capitalized on this activity level, while Nick Aguirre's 308-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Nick Aguirre | Payton Talbott |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 958 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Payton Talbott started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nick Aguirre is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Nick Aguirre | Payton Talbott |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 958 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.