March 31, 2009
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Nick Catone | Tim Credeur |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 992 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Nick Catone | Tim Credeur |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Nick Catone | Tim Credeur |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:45 | 3:45 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 036 | 1 223 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +44 |
Tim Credeur earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:45, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Nick Catone was submitted.
| Metric | Nick Catone | Tim Credeur |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 19 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 37 | 39 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 37 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 083 | 1 186 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Nick Catone controlled the striking through superior volume (37 vs 10 total strikes), significant strike advantage (19 vs 9), superior accuracy (51.4% vs 23.1%). However, since Nick Catone lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Tim Credeur's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Nick Catone | Tim Credeur |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:31 | 0:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 122 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +48 |
Tim Credeur edged out Nick Catone on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:24 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Nick Catone | Tim Credeur |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 53 | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 1 003 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +46 |
Tim Credeur demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tim Credeur capitalized on this activity level, while Nick Catone's 53-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Nick Catone | Tim Credeur |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 004 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +25 |
Tim Credeur extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nick Catone is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Nick Catone | Tim Credeur |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.