April 14, 2006
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Nick Diaz | Sean Sherk |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 993 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +32 |
Sean Sherk overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Nick Diaz.
| Metric | Nick Diaz | Sean Sherk |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 993 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Nick Diaz | Sean Sherk |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 089 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +50 |
Sean Sherk earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Nick Diaz | Sean Sherk |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 57 | 39 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 136 | 155 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 131 | 80 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 161 | 1 156 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Nick Diaz controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (131 vs 80 total strikes), significant strike advantage (57 vs 39), superior accuracy (41.9% vs 25.2%). However, since Nick Diaz lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Sean Sherk's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Nick Diaz | Sean Sherk |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 19 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:23 | 3:47 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 945 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Sean Sherk edged out Nick Diaz on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 3:47 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Nick Diaz | Sean Sherk |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 70 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 034 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +44 |
Sean Sherk demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Sean Sherk capitalized on this activity level, while Nick Diaz's 70-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Nick Diaz | Sean Sherk |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 003 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Sean Sherk started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nick Diaz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Nick Diaz | Sean Sherk |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 992 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.