September 25, 2015
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Nick Hein | Yusuke Kasuya |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 087 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Nick Hein's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nick Hein for the expected result. Had Yusuke Kasuya pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Nick Hein | Yusuke Kasuya |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Nick Hein | Yusuke Kasuya |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 084 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Nick Hein earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Nick Hein | Yusuke Kasuya |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 46 | 44 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 112 | 99 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 50 | 44 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 051 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Nick Hein slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Nick Hein capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Nick Hein | Yusuke Kasuya |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 059 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Nick Hein | Yusuke Kasuya |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 075 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -19 |
Nick Hein demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Nick Hein capitalized on this activity level, while Yusuke Kasuya's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Nick Hein | Yusuke Kasuya |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 049 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Nick Hein extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Yusuke Kasuya is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Nick Hein | Yusuke Kasuya |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.