April 9, 2010
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Nick Osipczak | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 029 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Nick Osipczak | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 022 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Nick Osipczak | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 150 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Rick Story receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Nick Osipczak | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 41 | 72 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 49 | 83 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 089 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Rick Story controlled the striking exchanges with 83 vs 49 total strikes, 43.1% vs 68.3% accuracy. Rick Story capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Nick Osipczak | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:27 | 9:55 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 20 |
| Ground ELO | 1 036 | 1 255 |
| ELO Change | -66 | +66 |
Rick Story dominated Nick Osipczak on the ground with 3 vs 2 takedowns, 9:55 of control time, 20 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Nick Osipczak | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 89 |
| Activity ELO | 1 049 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +60 |
Rick Story demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 89 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Rick Story capitalized on this activity level, while Nick Osipczak's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Nick Osipczak | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 030 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +29 |
Rick Story extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nick Osipczak is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Nick Osipczak | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.