March 15, 2019
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Nicolae Negumereanu | Saparbeg Safarov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 964 | 983 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Saparbeg Safarov's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Saparbeg Safarov for the expected result. Had Nicolae Negumereanu pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Nicolae Negumereanu | Saparbeg Safarov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 977 | 983 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Nicolae Negumereanu | Saparbeg Safarov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 953 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Saparbeg Safarov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Nicolae Negumereanu | Saparbeg Safarov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 70 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 27 | 86 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 20 | 139 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 908 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -92 | +92 |
Saparbeg Safarov dominated the striking exchanges with 139 vs 20 total strikes, 70 vs 11 significant strikes, 81.4% vs 40.7% accuracy. Saparbeg Safarov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Nicolae Negumereanu | Saparbeg Safarov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 10:45 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 50 |
| Ground ELO | 885 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -115 | +115 |
Saparbeg Safarov dominated Nicolae Negumereanu on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 10:45 of control time, 50 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Nicolae Negumereanu | Saparbeg Safarov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 399 |
| Activity ELO | 977 | 987 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +21 |
Saparbeg Safarov demonstrated extended layoff with 399 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Saparbeg Safarov capitalized on this activity level, while Nicolae Negumereanu's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Nicolae Negumereanu | Saparbeg Safarov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 977 | 988 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +26 |
Saparbeg Safarov started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nicolae Negumereanu is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Nicolae Negumereanu | Saparbeg Safarov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 977 | 983 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

