June 21, 2024
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Nicolas Dalby | Rinat Fakhretdinov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 158 | 1 229 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +50 |
Rinat Fakhretdinov overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Nicolas Dalby.
| Metric | Nicolas Dalby | Rinat Fakhretdinov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 075 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Nicolas Dalby | Rinat Fakhretdinov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 272 | 1 262 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Rinat Fakhretdinov receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Nicolas Dalby | Rinat Fakhretdinov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 66 | 68 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 134 | 134 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 123 | 99 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 198 | 1 311 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Nicolas Dalby controlled the striking through superior volume (123 vs 99 total strikes). However, since Nicolas Dalby lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Rinat Fakhretdinov's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Nicolas Dalby | Rinat Fakhretdinov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:57 | 6:17 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 176 | 1 327 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +49 |
Rinat Fakhretdinov controlled Nicolas Dalby on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 6:17 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Nicolas Dalby | Rinat Fakhretdinov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 231 | 231 |
| Activity ELO | 1 166 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +33 |
Rinat Fakhretdinov demonstrated standard activity with 231 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Rinat Fakhretdinov capitalized on this activity level, while Nicolas Dalby's 231-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Nicolas Dalby | Rinat Fakhretdinov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 110 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +26 |
Rinat Fakhretdinov started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nicolas Dalby is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Nicolas Dalby | Rinat Fakhretdinov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 075 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.