Nicolas Dalby vs Saygid Izagakhmaev

November 22, 2025

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1145
(+15)
Nicolas Dalby
Winner: Nicolas Dalby
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

C-ELO Evolution

Nicolas Dalby+15
Saygid Izagakhmaev-15
985
(-15)
Saygid Izagakhmaev

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Nicolas Dalby: +20Saygid Izagakhmaev: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricNicolas DalbySaygid Izagakhmaev
Total UFC Fights151
Experience Gap14-14
Experience ELO1 154980
ELO Change+20-20
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What Happened

Nicolas Dalby's 14-fight experience advantage (15 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nicolas Dalby for the expected result. Had Saygid Izagakhmaev pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Nicolas Dalby: +18Saygid Izagakhmaev: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricNicolas DalbySaygid Izagakhmaev
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 075982
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Nicolas Dalby: +4Saygid Izagakhmaev: -4

Performance Statistics

MetricNicolas DalbySaygid Izagakhmaev
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 253996
ELO Change+4-4
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Nicolas Dalby receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Nicolas Dalby: +18Saygid Izagakhmaev: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricNicolas DalbySaygid Izagakhmaev
Significant Strikes Landed2620
Significant Strikes Attempted6334
Total Strikes Landed8765
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 156982
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

Nicolas Dalby edged the striking exchanges with 87 vs 65 total strikes, 26 vs 20 significant strikes, 41.3% vs 58.8% accuracy. Nicolas Dalby capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Nicolas Dalby: +14Saygid Izagakhmaev: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricNicolas DalbySaygid Izagakhmaev
Takedowns Landed04
Takedowns Attempted210
Ground Control Time6:295:18
Ground Strikes Landed22
Ground ELO1 170986
ELO Change+14-14
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What Happened

Nicolas Dalby did not secure a significant ground advantage against Saygid Izagakhmaev on the ground with 0 takedowns, 6:29 of control time, 2 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Nicolas Dalby: +15Saygid Izagakhmaev: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricNicolas DalbySaygid Izagakhmaev
Days Since Last Fight210N/A
Activity ELO1 167988
ELO Change+15-12
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What Happened

Nicolas Dalby demonstrated standard activity with 210 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Nicolas Dalby capitalized on this activity level, while Saygid Izagakhmaev's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Nicolas Dalby: +17Saygid Izagakhmaev: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricNicolas DalbySaygid Izagakhmaev
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 110984
ELO Change+17-16
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What Happened

Nicolas Dalby started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Saygid Izagakhmaev is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Nicolas Dalby: +18Saygid Izagakhmaev: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricNicolas DalbySaygid Izagakhmaev
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 075982
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.