Nicolas Dalby vs Tim Means

June 25, 2021

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1024
(-22)
Nicolas Dalby
Winner: Tim Means
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Nicolas Dalby-22
Tim Means+23
1173
(+23)
Tim Means

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Nicolas Dalby: -36Tim Means: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricNicolas DalbyTim Means
Total UFC Fights824
Experience Gap-1616
Experience ELO1 0521 073
ELO Change-36+36
💡

What Happened

Tim Means's 16-fight experience advantage (24 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tim Means for the expected result. Had Nicolas Dalby pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Nicolas Dalby: -19Tim Means: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricNicolas DalbyTim Means
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0111 089
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Nicolas Dalby: -20Tim Means: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricNicolas DalbyTim Means
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0691 307
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

Tim Means earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Nicolas Dalby: -11Tim Means: +11

Performance Statistics

MetricNicolas DalbyTim Means
Significant Strikes Landed5453
Significant Strikes Attempted11693
Total Strikes Landed8494
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9891 213
ELO Change-11+11
💡

What Happened

Tim Means slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 57.0% vs 46.6% accuracy. Tim Means capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Nicolas Dalby: -43Tim Means: +43

Performance Statistics

MetricNicolas DalbyTim Means
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted44
Ground Control Time1:318:03
Ground Strikes Landed04
Ground ELO9811 218
ELO Change-43+43
💡

What Happened

Tim Means controlled Nicolas Dalby on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 8:03 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Nicolas Dalby: -11Tim Means: +13

Performance Statistics

MetricNicolas DalbyTim Means
Days Since Last Fight217217
Activity ELO1 0591 270
ELO Change-11+13
💡

What Happened

Tim Means demonstrated standard activity with 217 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Tim Means capitalized on this activity level, while Nicolas Dalby's 217-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Nicolas Dalby: -17Tim Means: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricNicolas DalbyTim Means
Win Streak03
Win Streak ELO1 0221 127
ELO Change-17+22
💡

What Happened

Tim Means extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nicolas Dalby is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Nicolas Dalby: -19Tim Means: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricNicolas DalbyTim Means
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0111 088
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.