September 18, 2009
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Nik Lentz | Rafaello Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Nik Lentz | Rafaello Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Nik Lentz | Rafaello Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 042 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Nik Lentz earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Nik Lentz | Rafaello Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 67 | 29 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 136 | 110 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 124 | 91 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 037 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Nik Lentz controlled the striking exchanges with 124 vs 91 total strikes, 67 vs 29 significant strikes, 49.3% vs 26.4% accuracy. Nik Lentz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Nik Lentz | Rafaello Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:18 | 5:39 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 18 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 067 | 933 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -67 |
Nik Lentz controlled Rafaello Oliveira on the ground with 4 takedowns, 3:18 of control time, 18 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Nik Lentz | Rafaello Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Nik Lentz demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Nik Lentz capitalized on this activity level, while Rafaello Oliveira's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Nik Lentz | Rafaello Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Nik Lentz started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rafaello Oliveira is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Nik Lentz | Rafaello Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.