February 16, 2019
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Nik Lentz | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 22 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 14 | -14 |
| Experience ELO | 1 174 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Nik Lentz's 14-fight experience advantage (22 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nik Lentz for the expected result. Had Scott Holtzman pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Nik Lentz | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 116 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Nik Lentz | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 289 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Nik Lentz earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Nik Lentz | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 71 | 54 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 122 | 122 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 79 | 86 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 226 | 1 212 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Nik Lentz controlled the striking exchanges with 71 vs 54 significant strikes, 58.2% vs 44.3% accuracy. Nik Lentz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Nik Lentz | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 19 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:47 | 0:17 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 312 | 1 161 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -61 |
Nik Lentz controlled Scott Holtzman on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 6:47 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Nik Lentz | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 135 | 135 |
| Activity ELO | 1 261 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -13 |
Nik Lentz demonstrated solid activity levels with 135 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Nik Lentz capitalized on this activity level, while Scott Holtzman's 135-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Nik Lentz | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 154 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -18 |
Nik Lentz extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Scott Holtzman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Nik Lentz | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 115 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.