Nik Lentz vs Will Brooks

November 17, 2017

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1154
(+19)
Nik Lentz
Winner: Nik Lentz
Submission
Round 2 • 2:05

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Nik Lentz+19
Will Brooks-17
989
(-17)
Will Brooks

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Nik Lentz: +27Will Brooks: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricNik LentzWill Brooks
Total UFC Fights194
Experience Gap15-15
Experience ELO1 1501 047
ELO Change+27-27
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What Happened

Nik Lentz's 15-fight experience advantage (19 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nik Lentz for the expected result. Had Will Brooks pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Nik Lentz: +15Will Brooks: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricNik LentzWill Brooks
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 098973
ELO Change+15-15
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Nik Lentz: +37Will Brooks: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricNik LentzWill Brooks
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish2:052:05
Win Type ELO1 2201 000
ELO Change+37-24
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What Happened

Nik Lentz earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:05, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Will Brooks was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Nik Lentz: +13Will Brooks: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricNik LentzWill Brooks
Significant Strikes Landed3449
Significant Strikes Attempted8278
Total Strikes Landed4049
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 142967
ELO Change+13-13
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What Happened

Will Brooks controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (49 vs 34), superior accuracy (62.8% vs 41.5%). However, since Will Brooks lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Nik Lentz's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Nik Lentz: +23Will Brooks: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricNik LentzWill Brooks
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted24
Ground Control Time0:460:45
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 178964
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

Nik Lentz edged out Will Brooks on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:46 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Nik Lentz: +10Will Brooks: -10

Performance Statistics

MetricNik LentzWill Brooks
Days Since Last Fight280225
Activity ELO1 2201 005
ELO Change+10-10
💡

What Happened

Nik Lentz demonstrated standard activity with 280 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Nik Lentz capitalized on this activity level, while Will Brooks's 225-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Nik Lentz: +16Will Brooks: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricNik LentzWill Brooks
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 129981
ELO Change+16-14
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What Happened

Nik Lentz started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Will Brooks is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Nik Lentz: +15Will Brooks: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricNik LentzWill Brooks
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 097973
ELO Change+15-15
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.