October 21, 2022
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Nikita Krylov | Volkan Oezdemir |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 170 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Nikita Krylov's 5-fight experience advantage (17 vs 12 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nikita Krylov for the expected result. Had Volkan Oezdemir pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Nikita Krylov | Volkan Oezdemir |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 076 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Nikita Krylov | Volkan Oezdemir |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 481 | 1 342 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Nikita Krylov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Nikita Krylov | Volkan Oezdemir |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 57 | 42 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 121 | 81 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 171 | 108 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 507 | 1 277 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Nikita Krylov dominated the striking exchanges with 171 vs 108 total strikes, 57 vs 42 significant strikes. Nikita Krylov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Nikita Krylov | Volkan Oezdemir |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 7 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 20 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:17 | 0:47 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 276 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | +95 | -95 |
Nikita Krylov dominated Volkan Oezdemir on the ground with 7 vs 1 takedowns, 9:17 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Nikita Krylov | Volkan Oezdemir |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 91 | 91 |
| Activity ELO | 1 253 | 1 172 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -20 |
Nikita Krylov demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Nikita Krylov capitalized on this activity level, while Volkan Oezdemir's 91-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Nikita Krylov | Volkan Oezdemir |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 121 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Nikita Krylov extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Volkan Oezdemir is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Nikita Krylov | Volkan Oezdemir |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 073 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.