Niklas Backstrom vs Tom Niinimaki

May 30, 2014

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1040
(+40)
Niklas Backstrom
Winner: Niklas Backstrom
Submission
Round 1 • 4:15

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Niklas Backstrom+40
Tom Niinimaki-36
1007
(-36)
Tom Niinimaki

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Niklas Backstrom: +82Tom Niinimaki: -82

Performance Statistics

MetricNiklas BackstromTom Niinimaki
Total UFC Fights12
Experience Gap-11
Experience ELO1 0821 012
ELO Change+82-82
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Niklas Backstrom: +22Tom Niinimaki: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricNiklas BackstromTom Niinimaki
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0221 002
ELO Change+22-22
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Niklas Backstrom: +72Tom Niinimaki: -44

Performance Statistics

MetricNiklas BackstromTom Niinimaki
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:154:15
Win Type ELO1 072970
ELO Change+72-44
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What Happened

Niklas Backstrom earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:15, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Niklas Backstrom: +24Tom Niinimaki: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricNiklas BackstromTom Niinimaki
Significant Strikes Landed57
Significant Strikes Attempted1211
Total Strikes Landed611
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0241 019
ELO Change+24-24
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What Happened

Tom Niinimaki controlled the striking through superior accuracy (63.6% vs 41.7%). However, since Tom Niinimaki lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Niklas Backstrom's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Niklas Backstrom: +53Tom Niinimaki: -53

Performance Statistics

MetricNiklas BackstromTom Niinimaki
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted07
Ground Control Time0:392:48
Ground Strikes Landed22
Ground ELO1 0531 043
ELO Change+53-53
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What Happened

Niklas Backstrom edged out Tom Niinimaki on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:39 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Niklas Backstrom: +23Tom Niinimaki: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricNiklas BackstromTom Niinimaki
Days Since Last FightN/A182
Activity ELO1 0231 002
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

Niklas Backstrom demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Niklas Backstrom capitalized on this activity level, while Tom Niinimaki's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Niklas Backstrom: +25Tom Niinimaki: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricNiklas BackstromTom Niinimaki
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 0251 004
ELO Change+25-23
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What Happened

Niklas Backstrom started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tom Niinimaki is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Niklas Backstrom: +22Tom Niinimaki: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricNiklas BackstromTom Niinimaki
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0221 002
ELO Change+22-22
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.