May 30, 2014
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Niklas Backstrom | Tom Niinimaki |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 082 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -82 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Niklas Backstrom | Tom Niinimaki |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 022 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Niklas Backstrom | Tom Niinimaki |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:15 | 4:15 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 072 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +72 | -44 |
Niklas Backstrom earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:15, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Niklas Backstrom | Tom Niinimaki |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 12 | 11 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 6 | 11 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 024 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Tom Niinimaki controlled the striking through superior accuracy (63.6% vs 41.7%). However, since Tom Niinimaki lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Niklas Backstrom's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Niklas Backstrom | Tom Niinimaki |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:39 | 2:48 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 053 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -53 |
Niklas Backstrom edged out Tom Niinimaki on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:39 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Niklas Backstrom | Tom Niinimaki |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 182 |
| Activity ELO | 1 023 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Niklas Backstrom demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Niklas Backstrom capitalized on this activity level, while Tom Niinimaki's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Niklas Backstrom | Tom Niinimaki |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 025 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -23 |
Niklas Backstrom started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tom Niinimaki is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Niklas Backstrom | Tom Niinimaki |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

