July 24, 2020
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Niklas Stolze | Ramazan Emeev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 982 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Ramazan Emeev's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ramazan Emeev for the expected result. Had Niklas Stolze pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Niklas Stolze | Ramazan Emeev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 982 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Niklas Stolze | Ramazan Emeev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 974 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Ramazan Emeev earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Niklas Stolze | Ramazan Emeev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 30 | 29 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 72 | 67 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 41 | 67 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 983 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Ramazan Emeev edged the striking exchanges with 67 vs 41 total strikes. Ramazan Emeev capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Niklas Stolze | Ramazan Emeev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 12 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:21 | 6:50 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 966 | 1 218 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Ramazan Emeev controlled Niklas Stolze on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 6:50 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Niklas Stolze | Ramazan Emeev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 259 |
| Activity ELO | 984 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +20 |
Ramazan Emeev demonstrated standard activity with 259 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ramazan Emeev capitalized on this activity level, while Niklas Stolze's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Niklas Stolze | Ramazan Emeev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 983 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +19 |
Ramazan Emeev started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Niklas Stolze is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Niklas Stolze | Ramazan Emeev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 982 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.