December 2, 2022
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Niko Price | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 11 | -11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 096 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +69 |
Phil Rowe overcame a 11-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Niko Price.
| Metric | Niko Price | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 025 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Niko Price | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:26 | 3:26 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 262 | 1 258 |
| ELO Change | -63 | +127 |
Phil Rowe gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Niko Price | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 110 | 63 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 247 | 139 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 150 | 64 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 119 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | -67 | +67 |
Niko Price controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (150 vs 64 total strikes), significant strike advantage (110 vs 63). However, since Niko Price lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Phil Rowe's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Niko Price | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:29 | 1:29 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 035 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Phil Rowe did not secure a significant ground advantage against Niko Price on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:29 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Niko Price | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 428 | 301 |
| Activity ELO | 1 205 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Phil Rowe demonstrated standard activity with 301 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Phil Rowe capitalized on this activity level, while Niko Price's 428-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Niko Price | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 048 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +31 |
Phil Rowe extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Niko Price is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Niko Price | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 023 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.