July 13, 2018
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Niko Price | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 154 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Niko Price | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 064 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Niko Price | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:09 | 1:09 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 294 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -32 |
Niko Price gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Niko Price | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 39 | 37 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 40 | 18 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 201 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | +64 | -64 |
Niko Price edged the striking exchanges with 40 vs 18 total strikes. Niko Price capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Niko Price | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:44 | 1:39 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 130 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Niko Price edged out Randy Brown on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:44 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Niko Price | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | 252 |
| Activity ELO | 1 138 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -21 |
Niko Price demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Niko Price capitalized on this activity level, while Randy Brown's 252-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Niko Price | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 077 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Niko Price extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Randy Brown is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Niko Price | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 064 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.