October 12, 2024
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Niko Price | Themba Gorimbo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 13 | -13 |
| Experience ELO | 1 083 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +66 |
Themba Gorimbo overcame a 13-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Niko Price.
| Metric | Niko Price | Themba Gorimbo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 018 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Niko Price | Themba Gorimbo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 231 | 1 226 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +55 |
Themba Gorimbo earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Niko Price | Themba Gorimbo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 68 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 53 | 127 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 58 | 141 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 039 | 1 260 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Themba Gorimbo dominated the striking exchanges with 141 vs 58 total strikes, 68 vs 16 significant strikes, 53.5% vs 30.2% accuracy. Themba Gorimbo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Niko Price | Themba Gorimbo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:00 | 9:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 19 |
| Ground ELO | 1 008 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | -123 | +123 |
Themba Gorimbo dominated Niko Price on the ground with 7 vs 0 takedowns, 9:14 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Niko Price | Themba Gorimbo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 134 | 148 |
| Activity ELO | 1 189 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +54 |
Themba Gorimbo demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Themba Gorimbo capitalized on this activity level, while Niko Price's 134-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Niko Price | Themba Gorimbo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 042 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +30 |
Themba Gorimbo extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Niko Price is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Niko Price | Themba Gorimbo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 012 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.