March 8, 2019
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Niko Price | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 19 |
| Experience Gap | -11 | 11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 162 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -28 |
Niko Price overcame a 11-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 19 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Tim Means.
| Metric | Niko Price | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 063 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Niko Price | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:50 | 4:50 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 340 | 1 228 |
| ELO Change | +99 | -46 |
Niko Price earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:50, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Niko Price | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 67 | 48 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 36 | 35 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 213 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | +122 | -122 |
Niko Price controlled the striking exchanges with 47.8% vs 64.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Niko Price capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Niko Price | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 1:51 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 122 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Niko Price landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Niko Price | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 183 | 99 |
| Activity ELO | 1 149 | 1 186 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -27 |
Niko Price demonstrated standard activity with 183 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Niko Price capitalized on this activity level, while Tim Means's 99-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Niko Price | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 079 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -23 |
Niko Price started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tim Means is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Niko Price | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 063 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.