Niko Price vs Vicente Luque

October 27, 2017

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1068
(-41)
Niko Price
Winner: Vicente Luque
Submission
Round 2 • 4:08

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Niko Price-41
Vicente Luque+45
1161
(+45)
Vicente Luque

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Niko Price: -37Vicente Luque: +37

Performance Statistics

MetricNiko PriceVicente Luque
Total UFC Fights47
Experience Gap-33
Experience ELO1 0961 104
ELO Change-37+37
💡

What Happened

Vicente Luque's 3-fight experience advantage (7 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Vicente Luque for the expected result. Had Niko Price pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Niko Price: -21Vicente Luque: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricNiko PriceVicente Luque
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0221 060
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Niko Price: -43Vicente Luque: +67

Performance Statistics

MetricNiko PriceVicente Luque
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish4:084:08
Win Type ELO1 1841 285
ELO Change-43+67
💡

What Happened

Vicente Luque earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:08, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Niko Price was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Niko Price: -84Vicente Luque: +84

Performance Statistics

MetricNiko PriceVicente Luque
Significant Strikes Landed2561
Significant Strikes Attempted99113
Total Strikes Landed2661
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 1201 251
ELO Change-84+84
💡

What Happened

Vicente Luque controlled the striking exchanges with 61 vs 26 total strikes, 61 vs 25 significant strikes, 54.0% vs 25.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Vicente Luque capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Niko Price: -87Vicente Luque: +87

Performance Statistics

MetricNiko PriceVicente Luque
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted10
Ground Control Time0:000:18
Ground Strikes Landed03
Ground ELO1 0241 260
ELO Change-87+87
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Niko Price: -15Vicente Luque: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricNiko PriceVicente Luque
Days Since Last Fight84224
Activity ELO1 0451 184
ELO Change-15+19
💡

What Happened

Vicente Luque demonstrated standard activity with 224 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Vicente Luque capitalized on this activity level, while Niko Price's 84-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Niko Price: -21Vicente Luque: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricNiko PriceVicente Luque
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0291 080
ELO Change-21+23
💡

What Happened

Vicente Luque started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Niko Price is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Niko Price: -21Vicente Luque: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricNiko PriceVicente Luque
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0221 060
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.