May 15, 2015
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Nolan Ticman | Yao Zhikui |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 957 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Nolan Ticman | Yao Zhikui |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 958 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Nolan Ticman | Yao Zhikui |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 948 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Yao Zhikui receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Nolan Ticman | Yao Zhikui |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 52 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 109 | 108 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 52 | 12 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 933 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Nolan Ticman controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (52 vs 12 total strikes), significant strike advantage (52 vs 9), superior accuracy (47.7% vs 8.3%). However, since Nolan Ticman lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Yao Zhikui's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Nolan Ticman | Yao Zhikui |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:38 | 0:39 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 903 | 987 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Yao Zhikui did not secure a significant ground advantage against Nolan Ticman on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:39 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Nolan Ticman | Yao Zhikui |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 273 | 266 |
| Activity ELO | 958 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +26 |
Yao Zhikui demonstrated standard activity with 266 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Yao Zhikui capitalized on this activity level, while Nolan Ticman's 273-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Nolan Ticman | Yao Zhikui |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 958 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Yao Zhikui started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nolan Ticman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Nolan Ticman | Yao Zhikui |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 958 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.