July 31, 2015
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Nordine Taleb | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 055 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +37 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Nordine Taleb | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 040 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Nordine Taleb | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:11 | 4:11 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 058 | 1 174 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +62 |
Warlley Alves earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:11, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Nordine Taleb was submitted.
| Metric | Nordine Taleb | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 34 | 38 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 30 | 23 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 111 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Nordine Taleb lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Warlley Alves's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Nordine Taleb | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:05 | 4:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 053 | 1 342 |
| ELO Change | -139 | +139 |
Warlley Alves dominated Nordine Taleb on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 4:18 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Nordine Taleb | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 266 |
| Activity ELO | 1 059 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +28 |
Warlley Alves demonstrated standard activity with 266 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Warlley Alves capitalized on this activity level, while Nordine Taleb's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Nordine Taleb | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 050 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +29 |
Warlley Alves extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nordine Taleb is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Nordine Taleb | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 040 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.