August 3, 2012
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Oli Thompson | Philip De Fries |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 954 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Oli Thompson | Philip De Fries |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 959 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Oli Thompson | Philip De Fries |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:16 | 4:16 |
| Win Type ELO | 922 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +56 |
Philip De Fries earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:16, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Oli Thompson was submitted.
| Metric | Oli Thompson | Philip De Fries |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 35 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 35 | 77 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 29 | 55 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 857 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -69 | +69 |
Philip De Fries controlled the striking exchanges with 55 vs 29 total strikes, 35 vs 18 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Philip De Fries capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Oli Thompson | Philip De Fries |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:49 | 6:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 818 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | -127 | +127 |
Philip De Fries dominated Oli Thompson on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 6:04 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Oli Thompson | Philip De Fries |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 155 | 171 |
| Activity ELO | 959 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +35 |
Philip De Fries demonstrated solid activity levels with 171 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Philip De Fries capitalized on this activity level, while Oli Thompson's 155-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Oli Thompson | Philip De Fries |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 959 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Philip De Fries started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Oli Thompson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Oli Thompson | Philip De Fries |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 959 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

