Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs Tony Sims

August 22, 2015

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1097
(+33)
Olivier Aubin-Mercier
Winner: Olivier Aubin-Mercier
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Olivier Aubin-Mercier+33
Tony Sims-30
1013
(-30)
Tony Sims

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Olivier Aubin-Mercier: +30Tony Sims: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricOlivier Aubin-MercierTony Sims
Total UFC Fights42
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 072991
ELO Change+30-30
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What Happened

Olivier Aubin-Mercier's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Olivier Aubin-Mercier for the expected result. Had Tony Sims pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Olivier Aubin-Mercier: +21Tony Sims: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricOlivier Aubin-MercierTony Sims
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0421 000
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Olivier Aubin-Mercier: +41Tony Sims: -41

Performance Statistics

MetricOlivier Aubin-MercierTony Sims
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1481 054
ELO Change+41-41
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What Happened

Olivier Aubin-Mercier earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Olivier Aubin-Mercier: +29Tony Sims: -29

Performance Statistics

MetricOlivier Aubin-MercierTony Sims
Significant Strikes Landed323
Significant Strikes Attempted829
Total Strikes Landed7646
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1031 056
ELO Change+29-29
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What Happened

Tony Sims controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (46 vs 76 total strikes), significant strike advantage (23 vs 3), superior accuracy (79.3% vs 37.5%). However, since Tony Sims lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Olivier Aubin-Mercier's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Olivier Aubin-Mercier: +52Tony Sims: -52

Performance Statistics

MetricOlivier Aubin-MercierTony Sims
Takedowns Landed60
Takedowns Attempted100
Ground Control Time12:060:55
Ground Strikes Landed020
Ground ELO1 2341 002
ELO Change+52-52
💡

What Happened

Olivier Aubin-Mercier controlled Tony Sims on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 12:06 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Olivier Aubin-Mercier: +40Tony Sims: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricOlivier Aubin-MercierTony Sims
Days Since Last Fight12057
Activity ELO1 0811 001
ELO Change+40-20
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What Happened

Olivier Aubin-Mercier demonstrated solid activity levels with 120 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Olivier Aubin-Mercier capitalized on this activity level, while Tony Sims's 57-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Olivier Aubin-Mercier: +27Tony Sims: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricOlivier Aubin-MercierTony Sims
Win Streak30
Win Streak ELO1 0541 002
ELO Change+27-21
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What Happened

Olivier Aubin-Mercier extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tony Sims is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Olivier Aubin-Mercier: +21Tony Sims: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricOlivier Aubin-MercierTony Sims
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0421 000
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.