June 2, 2017
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Oluwale Bamgbose | Paulo Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 960 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +28 |
Paulo Costa overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Oluwale Bamgbose.
| Metric | Oluwale Bamgbose | Paulo Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 962 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Oluwale Bamgbose | Paulo Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:06 | 1:06 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 030 | 1 180 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +77 |
Paulo Costa gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Oluwale Bamgbose | Paulo Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 33 | 43 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 62 | 80 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 40 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 044 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +62 |
Paulo Costa edged the striking exchanges with 43 vs 33 significant strikes. Paulo Costa capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Oluwale Bamgbose | Paulo Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:22 | 0:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 921 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Paulo Costa did not secure a significant ground advantage against Oluwale Bamgbose on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:15 of control time, 13 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Oluwale Bamgbose | Paulo Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 413 | 84 |
| Activity ELO | 975 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +59 |
Paulo Costa demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 84 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Paulo Costa capitalized on this activity level, while Oluwale Bamgbose's 413-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Oluwale Bamgbose | Paulo Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 965 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +23 |
Paulo Costa extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Oluwale Bamgbose is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Oluwale Bamgbose | Paulo Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 962 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.