July 30, 2021
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Orion Cosce | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 966 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Orion Cosce | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Orion Cosce | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:21 | 4:21 |
| Win Type ELO | 953 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +97 |
Phil Rowe gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Orion Cosce | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 22 | 46 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 52 | 93 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 51 | 53 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 876 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | -124 | +124 |
Phil Rowe controlled the striking exchanges with 46 vs 22 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Phil Rowe capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Orion Cosce | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:34 | 0:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 974 | 945 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Phil Rowe did not secure a significant ground advantage against Orion Cosce on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Orion Cosce | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 978 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +39 |
Phil Rowe demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Phil Rowe capitalized on this activity level, while Orion Cosce's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Orion Cosce | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +25 |
Phil Rowe started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Orion Cosce is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Orion Cosce | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

