February 17, 2018
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Oskar Piechota | Tim Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 087 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Oskar Piechota | Tim Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 040 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Oskar Piechota | Tim Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:54 | 1:54 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 131 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +89 | -37 |
Oskar Piechota earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:54, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Oskar Piechota | Tim Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 22 | 18 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 17 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 161 | 919 |
| ELO Change | +81 | -81 |
Oskar Piechota controlled the striking exchanges with 17 vs 8 significant strikes, 77.3% vs 44.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Oskar Piechota capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Oskar Piechota | Tim Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 107 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Oskar Piechota landed 1 knockdown followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Oskar Piechota | Tim Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 121 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 060 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -20 |
Oskar Piechota demonstrated solid activity levels with 121 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Oskar Piechota capitalized on this activity level, while Tim Williams's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Oskar Piechota | Tim Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 046 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Oskar Piechota extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tim Williams is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Oskar Piechota | Tim Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 040 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.