April 17, 2015
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ovince Saint Preux | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 173 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Ovince Saint Preux's 2-fight experience advantage (7 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ovince Saint Preux for the expected result. Had Patrick Cummins pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ovince Saint Preux | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 102 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ovince Saint Preux | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:54 | 4:54 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 429 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -16 |
Ovince Saint Preux earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:54, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Ovince Saint Preux | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 41 | 23 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 18 | 15 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 374 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -54 |
Ovince Saint Preux controlled the striking exchanges with 43.9% vs 60.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Ovince Saint Preux capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ovince Saint Preux | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 0:47 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 195 | 1 190 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Ovince Saint Preux landed 1 knockdown followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Ovince Saint Preux | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 1 237 | 1 153 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -19 |
Ovince Saint Preux demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Ovince Saint Preux capitalized on this activity level, while Patrick Cummins's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ovince Saint Preux | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 124 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -18 |
Ovince Saint Preux extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Patrick Cummins is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ovince Saint Preux | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 098 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

