August 15, 2014
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ovince Saint Preux | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -10 | 10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 094 | 1 214 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Ryan Bader's 10-fight experience advantage (15 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ryan Bader for the expected result. Had Ovince Saint Preux pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ovince Saint Preux | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 060 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ovince Saint Preux | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 255 | 1 404 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Ryan Bader earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Ovince Saint Preux | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 91 | 72 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 30 | 77 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 154 | 1 316 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Ryan Bader controlled the striking exchanges with 77 vs 30 total strikes. Ryan Bader capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ovince Saint Preux | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 9 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 21 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:47 | 10:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 1 112 | 1 381 |
| ELO Change | -75 | +75 |
Ryan Bader dominated Ovince Saint Preux on the ground with 9 vs 2 takedowns, 10:10 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ovince Saint Preux | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 63 | 63 |
| Activity ELO | 1 131 | 1 304 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +43 |
Ryan Bader demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 63 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Ryan Bader capitalized on this activity level, while Ovince Saint Preux's 63-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ovince Saint Preux | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 080 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +23 |
Ryan Bader extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ovince Saint Preux is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ovince Saint Preux | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 060 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

