November 23, 2024
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ozzy Diaz | Zhang Mingyang |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 970 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Ozzy Diaz | Zhang Mingyang |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ozzy Diaz | Zhang Mingyang |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:25 | 2:25 |
| Win Type ELO | 970 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +68 |
Zhang Mingyang earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:25, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Ozzy Diaz | Zhang Mingyang |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 12 | 34 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 9 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 923 | 1 166 |
| ELO Change | -77 | +77 |
Zhang Mingyang controlled the striking exchanges with 17 vs 9 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 75.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Zhang Mingyang capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ozzy Diaz | Zhang Mingyang |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 955 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Ozzy Diaz | Zhang Mingyang |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 281 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Zhang Mingyang demonstrated standard activity with 281 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Zhang Mingyang capitalized on this activity level, while Ozzy Diaz's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ozzy Diaz | Zhang Mingyang |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Zhang Mingyang extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ozzy Diaz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ozzy Diaz | Zhang Mingyang |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

