January 17, 2015
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Paddy Holohan | Shane Howell |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 019 | 937 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Paddy Holohan | Shane Howell |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 019 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Paddy Holohan | Shane Howell |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 056 | 923 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Paddy Holohan earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Paddy Holohan | Shane Howell |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 42 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 74 | 64 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 114 | 26 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 085 | 902 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Paddy Holohan dominated the striking exchanges with 114 vs 26 total strikes, 42 vs 22 significant strikes, 56.8% vs 34.4% accuracy. Paddy Holohan capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Paddy Holohan | Shane Howell |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:56 | 0:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 15 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 126 | 879 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -54 |
Paddy Holohan dominated Shane Howell on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 9:56 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Paddy Holohan | Shane Howell |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 107 | 205 |
| Activity ELO | 1 048 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -20 |
Paddy Holohan demonstrated solid activity levels with 107 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Paddy Holohan capitalized on this activity level, while Shane Howell's 205-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Paddy Holohan | Shane Howell |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Paddy Holohan started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Shane Howell is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Paddy Holohan | Shane Howell |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 019 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.