September 17, 2021
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Pannie Kianzad | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 073 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Raquel Pennington's 7-fight experience advantage (14 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Raquel Pennington for the expected result. Had Pannie Kianzad pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Pannie Kianzad | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 029 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Pannie Kianzad | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 073 | 1 195 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Raquel Pennington earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Pannie Kianzad | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 50 | 48 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 98 | 79 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 85 | 98 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 020 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Raquel Pennington slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 60.8% vs 51.0% accuracy. Raquel Pennington capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Pannie Kianzad | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:34 | 6:16 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 939 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Raquel Pennington controlled Pannie Kianzad on the ground with 1 takedown, 6:16 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Pannie Kianzad | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 455 |
| Activity ELO | 1 108 | 1 173 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +17 |
Raquel Pennington demonstrated extended layoff with 455 days since her last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Raquel Pennington capitalized on this activity level, while Pannie Kianzad's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Pannie Kianzad | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 052 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Raquel Pennington extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Pannie Kianzad is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Pannie Kianzad | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 029 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.