Pat Audinwood vs Thiago Tavares

September 24, 2010

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

960
(-40)
Pat Audinwood
Winner: Thiago Tavares
Submission
Round 1 • 3:47

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Pat Audinwood-40
Thiago Tavares+44
1075
(+44)
Thiago Tavares

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Pat Audinwood: -30Thiago Tavares: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricPat AudinwoodThiago Tavares
Total UFC Fights19
Experience Gap-88
Experience ELO9701 051
ELO Change-30+30
💡

What Happened

Thiago Tavares's 8-fight experience advantage (9 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Thiago Tavares for the expected result. Had Pat Audinwood pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Pat Audinwood: -20Thiago Tavares: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricPat AudinwoodThiago Tavares
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9801 036
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Pat Audinwood: -35Thiago Tavares: +57

Performance Statistics

MetricPat AudinwoodThiago Tavares
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish3:473:47
Win Type ELO9651 117
ELO Change-35+57
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What Happened

Thiago Tavares earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:47, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Pat Audinwood: -72Thiago Tavares: +72

Performance Statistics

MetricPat AudinwoodThiago Tavares
Significant Strikes Landed37
Significant Strikes Attempted811
Total Strikes Landed650
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9281 013
ELO Change-72+72
💡

What Happened

Thiago Tavares controlled the striking exchanges with 50 vs 6 total strikes, 63.6% vs 37.5% accuracy. Thiago Tavares capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Pat Audinwood: -109Thiago Tavares: +109

Performance Statistics

MetricPat AudinwoodThiago Tavares
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted02
Ground Control Time0:052:58
Ground Strikes Landed06
Ground ELO8911 193
ELO Change-109+109
💡

What Happened

Thiago Tavares dominated Pat Audinwood on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 2:58 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Pat Audinwood: -16Thiago Tavares: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricPat AudinwoodThiago Tavares
Days Since Last FightN/A257
Activity ELO9841 104
ELO Change-16+20
💡

What Happened

Thiago Tavares demonstrated standard activity with 257 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Thiago Tavares capitalized on this activity level, while Pat Audinwood's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Pat Audinwood: -19Thiago Tavares: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricPat AudinwoodThiago Tavares
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9811 047
ELO Change-19+21
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What Happened

Thiago Tavares started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Pat Audinwood is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Pat Audinwood: -20Thiago Tavares: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricPat AudinwoodThiago Tavares
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9801 036
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.