December 14, 2012
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Pat Barry | Shane del Rosario |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 014 | 947 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Pat Barry's 8-fight experience advantage (10 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Pat Barry for the expected result. Had Shane del Rosario pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Pat Barry | Shane del Rosario |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 006 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Pat Barry | Shane del Rosario |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:26 | 0:26 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 168 | 950 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -26 |
Pat Barry gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Pat Barry | Shane del Rosario |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 15 | 25 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 11 | 33 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 081 | 888 |
| ELO Change | +72 | -72 |
Shane del Rosario controlled the striking through superior volume (33 vs 11 total strikes), superior accuracy (56.0% vs 73.3%). However, since Shane del Rosario lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Pat Barry's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Pat Barry | Shane del Rosario |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:19 | 3:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 963 | 930 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Pat Barry did not secure a significant ground advantage against Shane del Rosario on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:19 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Pat Barry | Shane del Rosario |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 225 | 204 |
| Activity ELO | 1 069 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -17 |
Pat Barry demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Pat Barry capitalized on this activity level, while Shane del Rosario's 204-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Pat Barry | Shane del Rosario |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 016 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Pat Barry started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Shane del Rosario is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Pat Barry | Shane del Rosario |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 005 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

