Pat Barry vs Shane del Rosario

December 14, 2012

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1040
(+33)
Pat Barry
Winner: Pat Barry
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 0:26

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Pat Barry+33
Shane del Rosario-28
946
(-28)
Shane del Rosario

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Pat Barry: +31Shane del Rosario: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricPat BarryShane del Rosario
Total UFC Fights102
Experience Gap8-8
Experience ELO1 014947
ELO Change+31-31
💡

What Happened

Pat Barry's 8-fight experience advantage (10 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Pat Barry for the expected result. Had Shane del Rosario pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Pat Barry: +21Shane del Rosario: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricPat BarryShane del Rosario
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 006961
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Pat Barry: +54Shane del Rosario: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricPat BarryShane del Rosario
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish0:260:26
Win Type ELO1 168950
ELO Change+54-26
💡

What Happened

Pat Barry gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Pat Barry: +72Shane del Rosario: -72

Performance Statistics

MetricPat BarryShane del Rosario
Significant Strikes Landed1114
Significant Strikes Attempted1525
Total Strikes Landed1133
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 081888
ELO Change+72-72
💡

What Happened

Shane del Rosario controlled the striking through superior volume (33 vs 11 total strikes), superior accuracy (56.0% vs 73.3%). However, since Shane del Rosario lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Pat Barry's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Pat Barry: +22Shane del Rosario: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricPat BarryShane del Rosario
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted04
Ground Control Time0:193:19
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO963930
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

Pat Barry did not secure a significant ground advantage against Shane del Rosario on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:19 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Pat Barry: +21Shane del Rosario: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricPat BarryShane del Rosario
Days Since Last Fight225204
Activity ELO1 069966
ELO Change+21-17
💡

What Happened

Pat Barry demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Pat Barry capitalized on this activity level, while Shane del Rosario's 204-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Pat Barry: +22Shane del Rosario: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricPat BarryShane del Rosario
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 016962
ELO Change+22-20
💡

What Happened

Pat Barry started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Shane del Rosario is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Pat Barry: +21Shane del Rosario: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricPat BarryShane del Rosario
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 005961
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.