Pat Barry vs Stefan Struve

September 30, 2011

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1002
(-24)
Pat Barry
Winner: Stefan Struve
Submission
Round 2 • 3:22

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Pat Barry-24
Stefan Struve+29
1100
(+29)
Stefan Struve

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Pat Barry: -26Stefan Struve: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricPat BarryStefan Struve
Total UFC Fights79
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO9781 087
ELO Change-26+26
💡

What Happened

Stefan Struve's 2-fight experience advantage (9 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Stefan Struve for the expected result. Had Pat Barry pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Pat Barry: -19Stefan Struve: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricPat BarryStefan Struve
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9841 058
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Pat Barry: -37Stefan Struve: +57

Performance Statistics

MetricPat BarryStefan Struve
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish3:223:22
Win Type ELO1 0891 224
ELO Change-37+57
💡

What Happened

Stefan Struve earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:22, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Pat Barry was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Pat Barry: -25Stefan Struve: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricPat BarryStefan Struve
Significant Strikes Landed3031
Significant Strikes Attempted4582
Total Strikes Landed3031
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0441 039
ELO Change-25+25
💡

What Happened

Pat Barry controlled the striking through superior accuracy (66.7% vs 37.8%). However, since Pat Barry lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Stefan Struve's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Pat Barry: -34Stefan Struve: +34

Performance Statistics

MetricPat BarryStefan Struve
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:240:03
Ground Strikes Landed10
Ground ELO9221 059
ELO Change-34+34
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Pat Barry: -13Stefan Struve: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricPat BarryStefan Struve
Days Since Last Fight97126
Activity ELO1 0231 197
ELO Change-13+26
💡

What Happened

Stefan Struve demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Stefan Struve capitalized on this activity level, while Pat Barry's 97-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Pat Barry: -18Stefan Struve: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricPat BarryStefan Struve
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9921 075
ELO Change-18+20
💡

What Happened

Stefan Struve started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Pat Barry is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Pat Barry: -19Stefan Struve: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricPat BarryStefan Struve
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9831 058
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.