May 22, 2009
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Pat Barry | Tim Hague |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 983 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -76 | +76 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Pat Barry | Tim Hague |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 998 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Pat Barry | Tim Hague |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:42 | 1:42 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 035 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +99 |
Tim Hague earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:42, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Pat Barry | Tim Hague |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 11 | 5 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 2 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 059 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 3 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Pat Barry | Tim Hague |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:44 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 956 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Tim Hague controlled Pat Barry on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:44 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Pat Barry | Tim Hague |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 998 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Tim Hague demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Tim Hague capitalized on this activity level, while Pat Barry's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Pat Barry | Tim Hague |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 000 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +25 |
Tim Hague started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Pat Barry is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Pat Barry | Tim Hague |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 998 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.