June 28, 2001
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Pat Miletich | Shonie Carter |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 154 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Pat Miletich's 5-fight experience advantage (9 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Pat Miletich for the expected result. Had Shonie Carter pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Pat Miletich | Shonie Carter |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 228 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Pat Miletich | Shonie Carter |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:42 | 2:42 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 252 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | +80 | -39 |
Pat Miletich gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Pat Miletich | Shonie Carter |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 16 | 42 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 76 | 18 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 295 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | +97 | -97 |
Pat Miletich dominated the striking exchanges with 76 vs 18 total strikes, 62.5% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Pat Miletich capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Pat Miletich | Shonie Carter |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:59 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 202 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Pat Miletich edged out Shonie Carter on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:59 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Pat Miletich | Shonie Carter |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 56 | 56 |
| Activity ELO | 1 317 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -11 |
Pat Miletich demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 56 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Pat Miletich capitalized on this activity level, while Shonie Carter's 56-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Pat Miletich | Shonie Carter |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 184 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -15 |
Pat Miletich started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Shonie Carter is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Pat Miletich | Shonie Carter |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 117 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.